The U.S. added 109,000 private sector jobs in April, beating expectations of 99,000 and hitting a 15-month high. Gains were led by education and healthcare, with both small and large businesses hiring, though manufacturing and construction remained weak. Meanwhile, March PCE inflation rose to 3.5% year-over-year, the highest since June 2023, driven largely by energy prices. With inflation rebounding and the labor market holding up, market expectations for a Fed rate cut this year have cooled significantly. Barclays now projects the next cut may not come until March 2027. Tightening macro liquidity is becoming a key headwind for crypto markets.

RiverOfPassion

05-10 09:35

Expectations of rate cuts repeatedly postponed, and the sensitivity of the crypto market to interest rates is changing
Since last year, the market has experienced multiple cycles of "expectation of rate cuts—missed targets—repricing." Each delay has reinforced a fact: a high-interest-rate environment will last longer than most people imagine. However, the crypto market's sensitivity to interest rates is not static. In the early stages, Bitcoin and the Nasdaq were highly correlated, with changes in rate expectations almost directly reflected in the price of coins. But recently, with the develop

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ZhongLing

05-10 06:25

Powell is about to step down, officially handing over on May 15th. Looking back at his eight years: during the pandemic, he significantly loosened monetary policy to rescue the economy, leading to soaring inflation, then aggressively raised interest rates to suppress it, ultimately achieving the so-called "soft landing." Although a hard economic landing was avoided, the risk of high inflation still remains.
With the Federal Reserve changing leadership, the market will inevitably reprice. The future policy direction and the strength of the US dollar will directly determine the overall trend in

BTC0.38%

ETH0.02%

SOL1.76%

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CoinWay

05-08 23:14

Non-farm payrolls night is here! Can BTC stage a comeback? Tonight may decide May’s market trend
Right now, the entire market is waiting for one thing: the U.S. non-farm payrolls.
Because over the past 48 hours, global capital markets have been hit by two shocks at the same time:
First, the U.S.-Iran situation suddenly escalated;
Second, expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts wavered again.
After the U.S. Central Command confirmed the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz, risk appetite for capital clearly fell. BTC broke through 80,000, U.S. stocks pulled back, and crude oil put on a super V-s

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SpicyHandCoins:

Steadfast HODL💎

BrotherDaoBit

05-08 15:22

Tonight's non-farm payroll data just came out: 115k new jobs added in April, directly surpassing market expectations of 62k, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%, and wages growing modestly by 0.2% month-over-month.
The market reaction was very direct — Bitcoin dipped briefly, with the 80k level temporarily under pressure. The core logic is straightforward: employment resilience exceeded expectations, prompting the Fed to delay rate cuts, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields took the opportunity to rise, and the opportunity cost for assets like Bitcoin with no interest naturally in

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TheDayBeforeYesterday

05-08 14:11

It keeps going up and down, but it still falls back. $ETH
The daily trend of Ethereum has already turned bearish, and this current volume-less rebound is essentially a trap to lure in the bulls. The 2300-dollar level serves as a key supply zone, and the resistance has been clearly validated. The closer the price gets to this area, the better the risk-reward ratio for the bears.
After the non-farm payroll data was released tonight, ETH briefly tested the 2300-dollar resistance level before quickly falling back, indicating heavy selling pressure in that area and a lack of momentum for a success

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ThisNameIsn_tBad.

05-09 01:23

The Federal Reserve is increasingly resembling a "wait-and-see" party!
The market is starting to doubt: is rate cut just a PowerPoint presentation?
What is the most magical thing happening in the global financial markets right now?
Everyone is discussing rate cuts every day, but the rate cuts are delayed.
Recently, more and more analysts are directly saying:
The Federal Reserve may enter a long-term wait-and-see mode.
In other words:
Just hold on.
The reason is actually quite awkward.
The U.S. economy isn't strong enough to keep aggressively raising interest rates,
but it's

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OldKSpecializesInTrading

05-08 13:43

After rising and falling, it still dropped back down. $ETH
Ethereum's daily trend has already turned bearish, and this current volume-less rebound is essentially a trap set to lure in the bulls. The 2300-dollar level acts as a key supply zone, and the resistance has been clearly validated. The closer the price gets to this area, the better the risk-reward ratio for the bears.
After the non-farm payroll data was released tonight, ETH briefly tested the 2300-dollar resistance level before quickly falling back, indicating heavy selling pressure in that area and a lack of momentum for a successfu

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CryptoBrotherDong:

You're trapped, brother.

ShizukaKazu

05-08 16:19

#ADP就业超预期降息再推后 U.S. April ADP employment data significantly exceeded market expectations: private sector added 109k jobs this month, not only far surpassing the revised 61k in March but also higher than the market consensus of 99k, marking the largest increase since January 2025, nearly 15 months ago.
This data quickly reversed market expectations for rate cuts. The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady in June has surged to 94.2%, with only a 5.8% chance of a rate cut, and the probability of maintaining rates unchanged this year ha

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MrFlower_XingChen:

To The Moon 🌕

FatYa888

05-08 11:18

U.S. April ADP employment data significantly exceeded market expectations: the private sector added 109k jobs this month, not only far surpassing the revised 61k in March but also higher than the market consensus of 99k, marking the largest increase since January 2025, nearly 15 months ago.
This data quickly reversed market expectations of rate cuts. The CME FedWatch tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady in June has surged to 94.2%, with only a 5.8% chance of a rate cut, and the probability of maintaining rates for the rest of the year has exceede

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ICameToSeeThePictur:

Hop on now!🚗

CoinRelyOnUniversal

05-08 04:46

The Federal Reserve is increasingly resembling a "wait-and-see" party!
The market is starting to doubt: is rate cut just a PowerPoint presentation?
What is the most magical thing happening in the global financial markets right now?
Everyone is discussing rate cuts every day,
but the rate cuts haven't arrived yet.
Recently, more and more analysts are directly saying:
The Federal Reserve might enter a long-term wait-and-see mode.
In other words:
Just delay.
The reason is actually quite awkward.
The US economy isn't strong enough to keep aggressively raising interest rates,

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CoinWay:

Buy the dip 😎

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